SHELF - Tools to Support the Sheffield Elicitation Framework
Implements various methods for eliciting a probability
distribution for a single parameter from an expert or a group
of experts. The expert provides a small number of probability
judgements, corresponding to points on his or her cumulative
distribution function. A range of parametric distributions can
then be fitted and displayed, with feedback provided in the
form of fitted probabilities and percentiles. For multiple
experts, a weighted linear pool can be calculated. Also
includes functions for eliciting beliefs about population
distributions; eliciting multivariate distributions using a
Gaussian copula; eliciting a Dirichlet distribution; eliciting
distributions for variance parameters in a random effects
meta-analysis model; survival extrapolation. R Shiny apps for
most of the methods are included.